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" ... Is it the end of the post-World War II order? A sign of naiveté? The utterings of a belligerent isolationist? Is someone who communicates in the middle of the night to be believed by Europe’s centuries-old order? ... "
" ... The Fed held its normal meeting on April 30th and May 1st. There is half an hour between the Fed’s official statement and Powell’s press conference. The actual statement was dovish enough to cause the yield curve to fall several basis points right after its release, as the statement acknowledged, for the first time, that core inflation is below the Fed’s 2% target. From the statement alone and that admission, market participants concluded that the Fed’s next move would be a rate cut, perhaps soon. And, rates immediately moved lower across the yield curve. But, then, in the press conference, Powell said he thought that the low inflation data was “transitory,” meaning rates would revert toward the Fed’s 2% target without further Fed action. (This was clearly his personal view.) That dashed the initial market interpretation, and interest rates reversed course with yields along the curve ending the day higher than they began. Perhaps this was a faux pas, similar to his utterings back in November that caused the December market meltdown. Remember, he walked back his November statements in January, and the equity market recovered. Perhaps, he will walk back this “transitory” remark too, especially if the equity market shows enough pain. ... "