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" ... On 2% inflation the real yield on 30-year Treasuries approximates 1% currently, a very low number. It makes stocks more attractive than Treasuries. Even in the real yield setting of 2.5%, the market normally doesn't decline below 16 times buoyant earnings. Just make sure you’ve got your earnings projection realistically based. The market remains playable, but no room for disappointments. I ignore geopolitical noise because it's unforecastable as to impact. ... "
" ... We see that implied volatilities in the options markets have collapsed as the markets have rallied to record highs. While COVID and its impact on markets was unforecastable, it was still hedge-able, and those who did so were able to come out of 2020 very well. We are in a similar situation today. We have no idea what’s on the horizon, but by all metrics, even these unknown risks are yet again quite hedge-able. ... "