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" ... After all the hype, Amazon remains an unanalyzable property. Forty-two analysts love it with but one nay and two neutrals. This is a dangerous consensus. How many years ahead do you construe the price of Amazon to its Ebitda ratio? Full disclosure, I’ve carried a 5% position but twice that in Microsoft. ... "
" ... Alphabet. Why Netflix, only 3%, but I find it unanalyzable relative to Microsoft. ... "
" ... Don’t get me wrong. The technology can certainly be transformative for organizations that deploy it to automate routine tasks, drive efficiencies and find insights in data that were previously unanalyzable. Selling based on that premise can be valid. Where vendors tend to go overboard is selling AI as if it is some sort of magic trick that companies can implement with the flip of a switch. This approach is often successful for the vendor but ultimately leaves the customer disappointed. ... "
" ... Sadly, securities analysis today is of no help. First off, a handful of market capitalizations account for 20% of the S&P 500’s valuation and stand unanalyzable, starting with Amazon. Not because of Trump, but because nobody in the world can tell you when Amazon’s retail business does turn even moderately profitable. Operating cash flow numbers still are puny and variable quarter-to-quarter. ... "
" ... Unlike Amazon, BABA is a very profitable operation. Amazon is unanalyzable, an act of faith, that there will be a bottom line sooner rather than later in its online commerce business. ... "