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" ... Don't ask me where banks go from here. If I believed the yield curve was about to steepen I'd be overweighted, but I’m neutral. Despite all the political rhetoric kicking around big city banks, they’re handling themselves more conservatively than in previous cycles. ... "
" ... Meanwhile, Goldman notes that its fund manager clients "fear rising input costs will steepen the yield curve [meaning, yields will increase] and compress equity valuations" as a result of higher-than-expected interest rates and inflation. ... "
" ... The large Chesapeake Energy yield curve continued to steepen today as bonds plunged in super-heavy trading, with market sources divided over whether investors are capitulating on the credit or fast-money shorts are taking advantage of the situation. Moreover, shares were down 12% earlier today, at a 13-year low near $5, before retracing marginally, and credit protection costs on the natural gas giant blew out to record wides. ... "
" ... This river of liquidity will probably drive equity prices higher and will likely propel faster than expected growth in 2022. But the surprise for many investors may be more muted equity returns than the good economic news would suggest, as much of the gain in equity prices has already been pulled forward. Also, while the Fed will likely keep short-term rates near zero, the yield curve may steepen if growth is robust, and long-term rates may rise, especially in the latter half of the year. ... "
" ... Why were they not calling it QE? Because they were buying Treasury bills, not Treasury notes. Seriously. Typing this gives me a headache like no other. They’re buying T-bills for three simple reasons: 1) the balance sheet could not shrink anymore without the banking system collapsing 2) they needed the yield curve to steepen and couldn’t do so by selling the long end of the curve 3) they couldn’t cut short-term rates more for fear of inducing a panic in sentiment. That’s it. Period. So through the middle of 2020 the balance sheet will go back to where it was and will never, ever shrink again. QE infinity was a joke back in 2014. Now it is a reality. Advil please. ... "