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" ... Arguably, the most pertinent question above all is this: How will horizontal wells respond to being shut-in? This is an experiment that has never been tried before. Nobody knows how the wells may or may not respond when the spigots get re-opened at some future point. This uncertainty is part of why values are so depressed right now. The answer, whenever it comes, could be the lynchpin to what royalty and mineral valuations will look like in the future. ... "
" ... From there, it’s about really understanding your cash flow now and in the future. When will your required minimum distributions from your retirement accounts begin to add to your income? Will this be enough? When is the best time to start receiving Social Security benefits? There’s a complex network of multiple spigots that turn on and expenses that may turn off. ... "
" ... Moving along, I’ve got a lot of doubts about the solar business and a big recovery. AMAT is very optimistic about solar and they believe projects will get funded. They might…. I'll admit that I am a skeptic. I hate to say it but I suspect that in just a few short years we are going to see much higher efficiencies and we will regret funding a lot of these projects. Then again, maybe they are right and the money spigots will remain open…. Regardless of the economic considerations and our fiscal issues. ... "
" ... My biggest worry is the market’s addiction to Fed liquidity. While they clearly plan to keep the spigots open through April (why worry till then?), what happens when they “taper” QE4? The last market “taper tantrum” (Bernanke’s QE3) will look like a walk in the park. And, of course, there is always the worry that a 10% correction in markets with such valuations can occur at random and without a catalyst. Finally, the bond market hasn’t bought into the economic reaccelerating narrative. If it did, the 10-Year T-Note yield would be far above its current 1.8% level. ... "
" ... The Atlanta Hawks opened the doors to State Farm Arena for the first time to fans this NBA season Tuesday night. Water fountain spigots were covered with a red cup and padlocked. Only some urinals in the men’s bathroom were available. The others had plastic stretched over them. No one was allowed to shun a mask, except for the Hawks’ TV duo, Bob Rathbun and Dominique Wilkins. ... "