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" ... The first is that they've got the calculation of how much carbon can be burned rather wrong. Those "internationally agreed targets" are that temperatures do not rise by more than 2 oC. This in turn depends upon what carbon sensitivity is. It is this that tells us how much carbon we can burn before the temperature rises by that much. However, all of their calculations are based upon the older, higher, estimates of that senstivity. We're actually going through a series of downward revisions of what that number is. Only a couple of years ago the generally accepted value was 3 0C with 4.5 oC being reasonably likely. We now seem to be down to 2 oC, with some even claiming 1.6 oC. Clearly, this changes the amount of carbon that can be burnt before hitting that 2 oC target. ... "