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" ... A smaller, stealthier tanker. The Air Force is in the early stages of fielding a next-generation aerial-refueling aircraft that can replace hundreds of decrepit Cold War tankers. It is based on the Boeing 767, and is by far the most capable tanker ever built. But some Air Force seers think that a smaller, more survivable tanking plane could extend the range of fighters operating in contested air space. It would probably be unmanned, and take on fuel in the air from the larger manned tankers. This isn’t a horrible idea, but in a tight budget environment it might drain money needed to replace 400+ aged tankers in the current force, which should be the top priority for modernizing the aerial refueling fleet. The next-gen tanker currently in production has numerous defensive features to enhance its survivability, and the range of the Air Force’s stealthy F-35 fighters can be extended hundreds of miles by developing a new engine on which the service is already funding research. ... "
" ... The future threat environment is a more persuasive argument for adjusting the Navy’s force structure, but it is grounded in guesses about future Chinese behavior that are unprovable. We have been down this road before, with military seers telling us America’s military needed to be transformed to cope with the more capable adversaries of tomorrow. It turned out what we weren’t ready for were rag-tag terrorists and improvised explosive devices. But now the transformationists are back, and they have had a profound impact on acting defense secretary Pat Shanahan—who has never had to think about this stuff before. ... "
" ... The kind of public-private partnership identified in this 100-day plan is long-overdue. As Tim Roxey, one of the seers of cybersecurity in the electricity industry is fond of saying, “We didn’t know that what we were building 40 years ago was going to be called critical infrastructure or we would have planned better.” Now is the opportunity to remedy that lack of planning. ... "