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" ... I wannabe Warren Buffett, but I’m not. Never held a stock for 50 years like Coca-Cola, American Express, even Wells Fargo which I despise for taking advantage of their clientele. Economic cycles do intervene and the market does get schmeissed in half as in 2008-2009, and earlier in 1982 when Paul Volcker blasted interest rates up to 15%. ... "
" ... If all this takes place, stocks get schmeissed in half from current levels. New investors would have to see a viable pipeline industry, analogous with a public utility where the balance sheet is appropriate for earnings volatility and the payout to shareholders approximates 5%. Incremental capital spending would live within cash flow and possibly power a 3% to 4% earnings growth trajectory. (This is where small investors belong.) ... "
" ... If you believe oil futures snap back to $40 a barrel you can buy Exxon Mobil with a yield over 10%, currently. This is a management that thinks in decades. I’d be surprised if they schmeissed their payout barring a long bear market in oil pricing. ... "
" ... Wall Street celebrated Apple’s awesome year-end numbers with an initial 8 percent stock price burst, now 6 percent. Meanwhile, Google’s quarterly earnings miss schmeissed 8 percent off its stock price, a snappy fifty plus point reaction. In the previous quarter Google posted an upside surprise and was rewarded with an 8 percent or so accretion. The going rate for big surprises on the Street is 6 to 8 percent both ways. Look at Amazon. ... "