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" ... As for macro forecasts, I'd refer you to George Soros’ treatise on reflexivity. Nobody ever gets it right more than half the time. My take now on economists is they’re wishy-washy. Yes, along with the FRB they've raised their GDP forecast above 3%, but, still cautious on personal consumption expenditures, home building and cap ex. ... "
" ... CF: Self-criticism, reflexivity and novelty are three reasons I know I'll be doing this for a long time: What I can learn and what I haven't done yet keep me interested in equal measure. I am absolutely a perfectionist and I absolutely have not yet made a perfect thing. Not one. ... "
" ... It comes down to a concept central to hedge fund-billionaire George Soros’s investment strategy: reflexivity. The idea is that some mainstream investors think higher Treasury yields will cause tech shares to sell off, so other people, mostly market pros, sell first to get ahead of the pack, because that fear of a tech selloff will prompt some investors to actually sell. Then, the pros will swing back and buy in at lower prices in the following days and weeks. ... "
" ... There is much to say about this. The idea is not completely absurd, because the financial and economic system does exhibit what has been called reflexivity. ... "
" ... There’s a third idea behind momentum which is called reflexivity. It works something like this: a company’s stock goes up for one reason or another, which allows it to either buy other companies, raise additional capital or hire the best employees and talent with attractive stock-based compensation programs. As a result, the company may benefit from these capital allocation decisions or by recruiting the best talent, thus resulting in an improved business and a continually improving stock price. ... "