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" ... And again, I don’t disagree with Bloomberg’s statement “The list of energy analysts who now foresee a peak in oil demand keeps growing.” But the same could be true of peak oil supply in the 2000s or of the belief that $100 a barrel was the floor price of oil during the same period. The consensus view often reflects both a desire to not deviate from the apparent consensus, regardless of how many times that consensus failed miserably, but also, the media coverage of the latest fashion in punditry. ... "
" ... But about these challenges: Reagan and Kennedy were movement icons; Buchanan, through his writing and on-screen punditry, had a national following. So too did the quirky, bombastic Perot. ... "
" ... Lemme step back and whip punditry on not dealing with market valuation. Historically, we dwell today in high ground, over 20 times normalized earnings. Price-earnings ratios already factored in minimal interest rates, inflation and a benign FRB. ... "
" ... Reagan, albeit an actor accustomed to movie-going and other cultural endeavors, intuitively grasped that being myopic was not an option, especially when dealing with issues of global proportions. It is something I also learned, on a much, much smaller stage, when I was an account executive in the field of marketing. One of my former bosses, Ken Roman who was Chairman of Ogilvy & Mather, would counsel us that to best help our clients we needed to be their eyes and ears, taking in and processing everything going on around us, from movies to books to political punditry. To shift ahead of the competition it was essential for us to zoom out and look at the landscape from as broad a perspective as possible. ... "
" ... This may seem surprising, especially because day-to-day so much of the focus is on changes in price in the market. However, over time, the market’s little secret is that despite all the punditry and commentary, those major price movements tend to come out in the wash more than you may expect. Whereas a price move up can be canceled out by a subsequent price move down, companies have no way of taking back dividends they have paid out. ... "