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" ... Putin is now preponderantly in control of the Middle East and all that goes with it. Because he guarantees populist strongmen their rule, while the US demands standards of good behavior or else, Putin wins every time. In effect, he guarantees stability and continuity, paradoxical though it sounds. By definition he also has dirt on each such ruler owing to the inevitable corruption and patronage rampant in such regimes. Their private assets tend to be part of the global dark money system Putin dominates. He certainly has lots on Erdogan, beginning with Turkish breaching of Iran sanctions, the same offenses that Trump invoked to impose sanctions on Erdogan aides and the state bank. And much else. On Israel, Putin knows all about huge amounts of Russian oligarch money sloshing around. He can also, at any time, push or pull on the Iran threat to Israel via Syria or Hezbollah. Perhaps his most surprising new ally is Saudi. For years, Moscow and Riyadh were inveterate rivals and enemies over oil – and Moscow's support for Iran. The Saudis tried threatening instability in Chechnya. A small uprising in Grozny failed bloodily. The Saudis then tried to counter Moscow in Syria by trying (with others) to unseat Assad. As is now clear, that too failed. So they've come to heel, not least because after the Kashoggi incident, Riyadh's strongman needs allies with pitiless principles. ... "