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" ... Having said that, it’s hard to predict exactly where the price of oil may go. But, as we see with virtually all commodity industries, the lowest cost operators will do best while those with overleveraged balance sheets will do worst. You can’t really compete on anything but price in a commodity industry so managing costs is paramount. ... "
" ... In 1990, however, Trump hyperbole blew back on him. The New York real estate market was crashing, his Atlantic City casinos began struggling, and he was underwater with his new toy, the Trump Shuttle airline. In 1989 FORBES had his net worth at $1.7 billion. By spring 1990 FORBES figured it was $500 million at best. By that fall the overleveraged Trump was "within hailing distance of zero" and dropped from The Forbes 400. ... "
" ... My concentration is on where upside surprises can pop up. First, GDP is sustainable by personal consumption expenditures, two-thirds of the economy. Families today aren’t overleveraged, and low-interest rates are a spending stimulus. Unprecedented how mortgage rates sustain housing demand. Inventories, capital spending and our exports—all volatile sectors—haven’t bulged, so any contraction looks to be minimal. ... "
" ... Not distinctly overleveraged like Occidental Petroleum, where after its fall yields 6.7%, a payout ratio that looks unsustainable. Nobody can call Exxon Mobil a ragamuffin, but its five-year price chart is abysmal, from near par down to low seventies. ... "
" ... Second, the real estate market can go down. The real estate crash in 2008-09 hurt a lot of real estate investors who were overleveraged. If they needed to sell during that time, they might have taken a significant loss. ... "