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" ... 3. Even the Patriots crash (20% chance of happening). As the Fire experiment proved, Amazon is not free from miscalculating a particular move. Its most questionable in the decade ahead will undoubtedly be its desire to enter the grocery wars. The complexity of a notoriously low margin sector in which a physical network of stores is proving to be a necessary (albeit not necessarily sufficient) condition for success may prove to be Bezo's Waterloo. Becoming a significant player in online groceries may push Amazon to make its most irrational decision to date; to start or take over a chain of grocery stores. ... "
" ... Democrats are giddy at the notion that the NRA—spending much of its money on mounting legal fees and under gunned for the coming political fight—might be largely irrelevant this election cycle. What they are grossly miscalculating, however, is the resolve of gun owners who comprise perhaps the nation’s largest voting bloc. Gun owners see the President as a steadfast ally. Conversely, they tend to see Democrats the way ship captains view icebergs. Senator Biden famously said, if elected, he’d turn gun confiscation duties over to Beto O’Rourke, in an exchange that did far more to motivate gun owners than anything the NRA could have concocted in their war room. ... "
" ... Human capital (talent) is our most valuable asset. Just as coaches train athletes for optimum performance, it’s important we do the same by consistently gauging our team’s capacity, potential and limitations — even under the heaviest of business needs. During times in which business demands that players sprint to win, it’s critical that we carefully choose when and for how long, so as to prevent pushing all-star players into low scoring brackets by miscalculating their burnout threshold. In times in which we sense exhaustion, our best move is to check in with team members with a willingness to listen to what we might not want to hear and a commitment to slowing the game in order to win the season if needed. ... "
" ... So far in the U.S., the government is rapidly meeting vaccination administration needs. Global efforts remain sluggish in many areas. While there is not a parallel precedent of mass vaccination, sentiment data would have at least helped spotlight the problem. What support do local pharmacies, nursing homes, and hospitals need? What regions of the world are most at risk and should be addressed first? Should we require vaccination for our employees to safely return to the office? Without timely sentiment data visualizations—communities, businesses, and governments risk miscalculating needs. ... "
" ... Ultimately, it doesn’t matter how you define cyberwar or whether you believe we are currently at a state of cyberwar or not. At its core, cybersecurity must be dealt with as key international economic issue and not simply a national defense or security one. The impact of misrepresenting or miscalculating risk was felt in the sub-prime market and cascading global financial meltdown. Today’s cybersecurity challenges and implications are more pervasive. ... "