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" ... Sooooo. Pass over reading the Fed’s meeting notes which everyone genuflects over slight variances in diction, meeting-to-meeting. The deal is to creep into Jay’s head and know what issues he’ll be worrying about six to 12 months ahead. Unless you can project changes in FRB concerns, you become a coincident indicator, maybe even a lagging indicator of change. Nobody makes money being a lagging indicator. Would Powell sense overspeculation and hike margin to 90? I dunno. ... "