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" ... A year ago, in my last round of futurism, I had 2.5% as the expected long-term rate of return on a 60/40 portfolio mixing stocks and bonds. The number is lower now for a simple reason: Stocks and bonds have gotten more expensive. A dollar you put into them gets you less earnings or interest. ... "
" ... He is also the author of five books. In his latest work, 'Technology vs. Humanity', futurism meets humanism in a ground-breaking manifesto of critical observation; exploring the megashifts that will radically alter our society, economy, values and even our biology. ... "
" ... In the age of acceleration and this increasingly volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous (VUCA) era, strategic foresight and futurism provide a rigorous, structured methodology that affords private wealth owners and family offices a better understanding of the possible, plausible and probable futures. This strengthens their capacity to be resilient, minimize risk and leverage opportunity. ... "
" ... Until recently I was an Assistant Professor of Economics and Government at the School of Government at the University of North Carolina, with much of my work involving advising government officials. I blog mostly on macroeconomics, rationality, philosophy and futurism. ... "
" ... While the last few years have led to an onslaught of futuristic, science fiction visions of the future of mobility, 2018 may signal a shift to a more realistic tone. Whether a response to the complexity of the task at hand or a mainstream fatigue of futurism, the hype surrounding AVs has cooled. In reality, this may be exactly what the industry needs. Ongoing rumors and stressed timelines aren’t helping make any progress - especially when human lives are at risk. ... "