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" ... Whatever the economic fundamentals or the experience abroad, the dispute between the president and the Fed will play out in the political and not the economic arena. If the economy responds smartly to the re-opening just now beginning, a gratified Donald Trump will look at the coming election with greater optimism. Needing less help from monetary policy he will likely ease the pressure on the Fed, and this latest interest rate dispute will evanesce. If, however, the economy fails to respond adequately to the re-opening and unemployment rates remain high, Donald Trump’s increasing desperation will redouble the pressure on the Fed, making negative interest rates a much greater likelihood, regardless of Chairman Jay Powell’s reasonable reservations and those of other Fed governors.This latest phase of the battle ... "