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" ... Historically, VIX—sometimes called the market’s “fear index”—trades in ranges over periods of time. It spent a lot of time last fall between 25 and 30, and then early this year between 20 and 25. Now it’s back above 30, and that could indicate more concern about possible choppiness and deeper losses straight ahead. One interesting thing now vs. a week ago, however, is that VIX futures have gone from contango (where outer months are higher than the current level) to backwardation, where the current level outweighs future prices. ... "
" ... In a normal setting, this would result in a widening of contango, i.e. the futures price being higher than the spot price with the market structure encouraging traders to store oil. However, there is already plenty of oil in floating and onshore storage courtesy cargo diversions for crude destined for China but moved elsewhere by those holding out for a reversal in Chinese demand. ... "
" ... In an orderly market (called contango by metal traders) those prices would be in reverse with the future prices higher than the cash price of metal for immediate delivery. ... "
" ... Volatility Chronicles: One really amazing development over the last few sessions is the way the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) just put on the brakes and dropped right back to where it was before the late January short-selling frenzy. Back then it jumped from 21 to 37 in just a day. Lately, it’s trading back near 22. We did see a similar quick move to the upside and back down last October, so it’s not unheard of. But it is unusual to see VIX depart from an established range and then return to it so quickly. Don’t be surprised if there’s a second act, especially considering that options trading volume hit record highs last year and remains heavy. In addition, the VIX futures complex is in contango, with prices farther out higher than the spot price. That means futures traders, at least, appear to anticipate more uncertainty ahead as we approach a long-awaited spring thaw and continue grappling with the virus. ... "
" ... Volatility continues to cool. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) has fallen back below 22, but remains above the historic average of around 20. VIX futures remain in contango, meaning forward prices are higher than the spot price. If you look toward spring, VIX futures are above 26. This is a possible warning sign that some investors see a bumpier road ahead. ... "