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" ... Apple’s price-earnings ratio is conjectural at this stage in its history. Appliance hardware manufacturers eventually end up at 10 times earnings. Apple easily could dip below a 15 multiple. So I don’t understand Buffett’s jumbo. He missed the earlier groundswell for Amazon, Facebook and Alphabet. Where was he on Microsoft, a reasonably priced property? Is this Buffett’s make-up, the Apple play? ... "
" ... As for Amazon, the most extremist forecast I’ve seen is over $44 a share for earnings in 2020. This puts valuation at 36 times on a most conjectural sum with scanty factual backup. ... "
" ... Automobile production and demand is conjectural. Who’s going on a shopping spree in department stores? How would you like to be an owner of a luxury shopping center? I could go on and on. I’m sticking with Amazon. They can fulfill orders with $15 an hour fork-lift truck jockeys. ... "
" ... My ragamuffins embrace Kinder Morgan, Plains GP Holdings and Enterprise Products Partners, a comparative blue chip. Fifty years ago, U.S. Steel, a blue chip, bumped up steel prices and drew President Kennedy's ire, creating a mini panic in the stock market. Currently, X’s survival past 2018 is conjectural. The stock trades at $7 with a 12-month high of $27 and change. Nobody said buying volatility can't hurt you. ... "
" ... The coal stocks are good examples. Arch Coal and Alpha Natural Resources sell under ten bucks but could easily violate loan covenants. Arch is tied more to thermal coal which has a more conjectural future than coking coal, more weighted in Alpha Natural Resources’ future. My prospective pick is Walter Energy which was able to float a $500 million debenture at 9⅞ percent recently. This should keep the wolf away from the door for a couple of years, but its very expensive capital. ... "