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" ... Hinton’s enthusiasm was premature. Gary Marcus is a prominent skeptic about deep learning, and he says, “the number of radiologists who have been replaced by AI systems to date is approximately zero”. Today, deep learning diagnostic systems are brittle, and less versatile than we need them to be. But this could well be an example of Amara’s Law: we often over-estimate the impact of a technology in the short term and under-estimate it in the longer term. Ed Kessler is commercial director of cfes, a provider of healthcare infrastructure and clinical support services, and he thinks Hinton might be proved right in fifteen years or so. ... "